There is an option to end the war earlierAs I already pointed out in my previous works “Who, how much and when will earn on the Ukrainian war” and Who benefits from killing Ukrainian soldiers and to what extent?, The main tasks are not a quick capture (liberation) of Ukrainian territory with subsequent denazification and demilitarization, but a long maintaining high gas prices, disposing of obsolete weapons and testing in combat conditions the latest weapons and the latest methods of warfare. However, these real tasks also lead to the denazification and demilitarization of the pseudo-state of Ukraine. The truth is "before" and not "after" the victory and capture (liberation). It should be noted that the true tasks of the war are indeed being carried out well.
But, obviously, the main task of the war is to pump monetary liquidity from the industry of Europe to the oil and gas companies of the USA and Russia. And, accordingly, the most important question is “How long will this pumping last?”, Since this answer is equivalent to the answer to the question “How long will the war last?”. At first glance, we see only four factors in answering this question:
There are answers to these four questions.
Given the opinion of military experts that the military cycle lasts 4 years, the final answer "4-5 years" seems plausible.
At the same time, although the United States has the task of “fighting to the last Ukrainian,” it is not entirely feasible, since the Ukrainians themselves are hiding from the military registration and enlistment offices, and Europe may go bankrupt by that time.
And it is the ruin of European industry that gives a chance to end the war faster. Let me explain.
High prices for raw materials (natural gas and oil) increase the costs of European corporations, respectively, reduce the marginality of the business. If costs rise dramatically, then the profitability of the European industry may become zero. Or generally negative. With a gas price of $3,000 per thousand cubic meters of European industry, there is no point in working at a loss. It's easier to stop. And at that moment, the value of the shares of industrial enterprises in Europe will become extremely low, which means the opportunity to buy it for next to nothing. Who will buy? Of course, the one who pumped liquidity out of European industry. US oil and gas sector. Russia and China will not be allowed to buy shares by legislative means. And from the moment the US corporations take over the industry of Europe, America will no longer need war. Because in pursuit of the profits of the European industry now owned by them, the Americans will begin to reduce gas prices. And how to reduce the price of gas quickly? Give the command to Zelensky and Zaluzhny to sign a surrender or simply run away, abandoning the troops. They will execute this command quickly and accurately.
So there is an option how to end the war in 2023: we still need to raise gas prices and let the Americans buy up the industry of Europe.
Unless, of course, we are satisfied with not only the political but also the economic absolute dominance of the United States in Europe. Article `Solving the problem "How many fools are around us?"` 25.11.2022 Article `Gas pipelines of Ukraine and the front line` 19.11.2022 Article `Is the US our enemy in the war in Ukraine?` 18.11.2022 Article `Why did we surrender Kherson?` 10.11.2022 Article `Who are we actually at war with?` 17.10.2022 Article `Why is Russia dragging out the war?` 12.10.2022 Article `Who benefits most from the sabotage at Nord Stream?` 05.10.2022 Article `Who won the Arab-Israeli conflict?` 02.10.2022 Article `Balakley. Correction of war goals and methods of achievement, advantages and disadvantages` 11.09.2022 Article `Who benefits from killing Ukrainian soldiers and to what extent?` 29.05.2022 Article `The ratio of forces of the opposing groups` 14.05.2022 Article `Goals and objectives of the current war` 04.05.2022 Article `This is a «hot» financial war`09.04.2022 Article `Who, how much and when will earn on the Ukrainian war` 03.04.2022 Article `Negative and positive political corruption` 12.03.2022 Article `The goals of the West in the confiscation of Russian money` 06.03.2022 Article `Drug mafia as a threat to state security` 04.03.2022 Article `How do I feel about the war in Ukraine?` 02.03.2022 Article `Who unleashed the war in Ukraine and why?` 01.03.2022 |
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