Who, how much and when will earn on the Ukrainian war

On 03/04/22, 37 days after the start of the war in Ukraine, three large beneficiary groups interested in the war began to emerge:

Financiers of the "collective West";
Producers of hydrocarbons that have risen sharply in price;
World military-industrial complex.

Financiers of the «collective West»

In my work «Who and why unleashed a war in Ukraine» ⁽¹⁾ I already wrote that the main goal of the “collective West” is “expropriation” - the withdrawal from Russian oligarchs, officials and businessmen of money placed in the West on the accounts of offshore companies, in real estate and valuable securities in the total amount of about two trillion dollars.

This goal has almost been reached. With some differences by country.

In Cyprus and Switzerland, they gave indulgences - they will only take away from officials and from oligarchs and businessmen associated with them. Businessmen who are not connected with the authorities are allegedly not touched. Which is strange and not credible. In France, they block all Russians indiscriminately.

In France, they block all Russians indiscriminately.

The United States has drafted a bill that proposes to channel the proceeds from confiscated Russian assets into a fund to help Ukrainian refugees and restore Ukraine, which will be managed by the State Department and a well-known CIA subsidiary, the US Agency for International Development. ⁽²⁾

In any case, the income from the "expropriation" has already been estimated at about two trillion dollars, and for this group of world crooks, the continuation of the war is not critical. But another month of war on the "formulation of public opinion" will not hurt.

Producers of hydrocarbons that have risen sharply in price

Since the beginning of the war, the exchange prices for gas have risen sharply and are holding with some fluctuation by about 70% and for oil by about 35% above the "normal" level.

World gas prices as of April 1, 22 amounted to $1,500 per thousand cubic meters.

If we take $600 per thousand cubic meters to calculate the price increase, then we get that the largest gas exporters receive the following additional income every month.

State	Export per year in m.cub ⁽³⁾	Additional income from price increase per month $
Russia	199 928 345 000	9 996 417 250
USA	149 538 000 000	7 476 900 000
Qatar	143 700 000 000	7 185 000 000
Norway	112 951 000 000	5 647 550 000
Canada	70 932 000 000	3 546 600 000

The total additional income per month for these exporters alone will be $33 billion per month, but since no more than half of the gas is sold “on the spot”, the amount of additional income can be safely divided by two.

Total approximately $15 billion per month. Only the largest exporters. Without taking into account the growth of domestic prices.

In connection with the Ukrainian war, the United States, Norway and Canada are on the side of the American puppet Ukraine, Russia and Qatar are on the side of Russia. But the income of the "opposing" groups grew approximately the same. What brings to mind...

World oil prices as of April 1, 22 amounted to $104 per barrel.

If we use $25/bbl to calculate the price increase, then the largest oil exporters receive the following extra revenue each month.

State	Export of thousands of barrels per day ⁽⁴⁾	Additional income from price increases per month $
Saude Arabia	7 500	5 625 000 000
Russia	5 100	3 825 000 000
Irak	3 800	2 850 000 000
Canada	3 200	2 400 000 000
UAE	2 500	1 875 000 000
Kuwait	2 100	1 575 000 000
Iran	2 000	1 500 000 000
Venezuela	1 900	1 425 000 000

The total additional income per month for these exporters alone will be $21 billion per month, but since oil prices are not fixed as often as for gas, but oil products are not taken into account, the amount of additional income can be safely multiplied by 1.5.

Total approximately 30 billion dollars a month. Only the largest exporters. Without taking into account the growth of domestic prices.

In connection with the Ukrainian war, occupied Iraq, Kuwait and Canada are on the side of the American puppet Ukraine, Russia, Iran and Venezuela are on the side of Russia. Saudi Arabia and the UAE are "pseudo-neutral". But the income of these two "opposing" and one "neutral" groups grew approximately the same. Which brings me back to mind...

The income from the continuation of the war of hydrocarbon producers is at least 50 billion dollars a month only at first glance. With a detailed analysis of all, and not just the main, players, as well as the addition of metal and food producers, it becomes clear who exactly «war is dear to».

It is financially important for these producer groups to prolong the war. About $100 billion a month is at stake.

Generals and officials from both sides of the conflict can be bribed for a share of this money. The methods have been worked out since the beginning of the "Arab-Israeli" wars.

By the way, it is curious to recall that the main military force of Israel in these wars were Jews - immigrants from Western Ukraine.

World military-industrial complex

These players are known to everyone, and even at the beginning of the Ukrainian war, the American political observer Tucker Carlson identified them.

All over the world, military-industrial complex engineers are closely watching how the previous generation "drone - artillery radar gun" bundle is fighting with the "previous generation satellite - cruise missile" bundle. A bunch of "a group of satellites of the latest generation of Starlink - a gun or MANPADS, or ATGM" is being rolled in.

It is unlikely that the military-industrial complex of certain countries will be able to supply serious heavy weapons to Ukraine in this war. Risking a military conflict with Russia is fraught. Income on supplies for the Ukrainian war is not visible.

But it is very important for everyone to see how the hostilities will be conducted. This is what will make it possible to distribute several trillion dollars among the largest players in the military-industrial complex over the next 10 years. A month or two of military-industrial intelligence is critically needed. More is not required.

Thus, we will draw conclusions.

The financiers of the "collective West" have already stolen about 2 trillion dollars and they need no more than a month to issue a seizure based on the collective opinion of voters fooled by super-powerful propaganda;
The world military-industrial complex needs another month or two to draw conclusions about the modern large-scale non-nuclear land war and make relevant proposals to the governments of their countries for trillions of dollars in the medium term;
Producers of hydrocarbons, as well as other goods that have risen sharply in price, need a long war. The longer the better for them. $100 billion a month is at stake.

Thus, we see that the end of the war within the next two months is not at all necessary for any of the very large players. Stopping it after 4-5 months is possible if no extraordinary events occur.

And the lives of Ukrainians for these "global players" are not important from the word "absolutely". These lives are just a bargaining chip for big profits.

People die for metal. And for cynical politicians, this is normal.