Russian version

Who are we actually at war with?

In my previous work «Why is Russia dragging out the war?» it was possible to establish that the prolongation of the war in Ukraine is beneficial to Russia in all aspects, and especially in the geopolitical one.

The fact that the war is exclusively beneficial to the United States is also clear. They now ship more than 200 million cubic meters of natural gas to Europe per day at spot prices, which gives them at least $300 million in additional revenue per day, or more than $100 billion per year. Their income is also obvious both from the supply of obsolete military equipment to Ukraine, and from the production of new weapons systems instead of the «retiring» ones. And, of course, the already existing income from the «freezing» of Russian assets.

 

And who is the loser from the war?

We do not consider Ukraine, it has no legal personality, and de facto is not a goal, but a means of waging war. But with whom?

The biggest losers from the war in Ukraine are importers of gas that has risen in price. Who are these countries?

 

After analyzing a number of sources, it was possible to obtain approximately the following picture for the largest gas importers for 2021 in billion cubic meters.

State Gas import 2021
billion cubic meters
Germany 155
China 138
japan 107
Italy 70
Great Britain 53
South Korea 51
France 46
Turkey 38
Spain 36

At the same time, it is worth noting that China and Turkey have long-term pipeline supplies at a fixed price from Russia, while Italy and Spain — from Algeria through Sicily and Gibraltar, respectively.

Then the corrected list of those affected by the increase in spot gas prices will look something like this:

 

State Gas import 2021
billion cubic meters
Germany 100
Japan 107
Italy 20
Great Britain 53
South Korea 51
France 46
China 70

What is surprising is that, apart from China, all the «affected» countries have a pronounced pro-American policy. In preference, this is called: «If you can’t help the player, help the whistler.» And in politics: «What could be worse than a war with an American? Only friendship with him!»

So, from the point of view of geo-economics, the United States, in alliance with Russia, is waging an economic war against Germany, Japan, England, France and South Korea. At the same time also against China.

These countries, purchasing gas on the spot market, will lose more than $700 billion a year in total, which will affect not only the balance of payments, but also the competitiveness of the economy.

They will suffer a year, another. And then they will have a choice — either the loss of the economy, or a change in political course. What will win? It is said that «being determines consciousness.» Well, let’s wait and see.



17.10.2022




Article `Solving the problem "How many fools are around us?"` 25.11.2022

Article `Gas pipelines of Ukraine and the front line` 19.11.2022

Article `Is the US our enemy in the war in Ukraine?` 18.11.2022

Article `Why did we surrender Kherson?` 10.11.2022

Article `Why is Russia dragging out the war?` 12.10.2022

Article `Who benefits most from the sabotage at Nord Stream?` 05.10.2022

Article `Who won the Arab-Israeli conflict?` 02.10.2022

Article `Balakley. Correction of war goals and methods of achievement, advantages and disadvantages` 11.09.2022

Article `There is an option to end the war earlier` 25.07.2022

Article `Who benefits from killing Ukrainian soldiers and to what extent?` 29.05.2022

Article `The ratio of forces of the opposing groups` 14.05.2022

Article `Goals and objectives of the current war` 04.05.2022

Article `This is a hot financial war`09.04.2022

Article `Who, how much and when will earn on the Ukrainian war` 03.04.2022

Article `Negative and positive political corruption` 12.03.2022

Article `The goals of the West in the confiscation of Russian money` 06.03.2022

Article `Drug mafia as a threat to state security` 04.03.2022

Article `How do I feel about the war in Ukraine?` 02.03.2022

Article `Who unleashed the war in Ukraine and why?` 01.03.2022




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